Jim Rogers Says He’s `Short’ Emerging Market, Nasdaq Stocks

Jim Rogers appeared on Bloomberg Television in Singapore a few days ago. Whilst Bullish commodities as usual he did also mention a few of his short trades. To learn more about how to trade commodities,shares, currencies and more please go to winonmarkets.net

Here is what he said:

“The world is running out of known reserves of oil. It’s a simple fact.”

“Saudi Arabia has been lying about their (oil) reserves for decades,” said Rogers. “The reason oil is going up is the world is running out of known reserves of oil.”

“In bull markets things go to prices which nobody can conceive of. I’m the bull, and I’m telling you, at one point I’m going to sellout and then they’re going double again. In the bull market in stocks, who would’ve thought that CISCO would have gone up a hundred times. It did. That’s what happens at the end of a bull market and that’s what’s going to happen at the end of the bull market in commodities. It’s still several years away.”

“Gold will go to $2000 in this decade. It’s pretty simple as far as I’m concerned.”

“Silver will certainly go over $50. The old high on silver was $50. Silver will go to new highs again. All these prices are going to go to absurd levels by the end of the decade, by the end of the bull market.”

“Huge bull market in agriculture. Agriculture prices are still extremely depressed on a historic basis. You know, the price of sugar has gone up 600% in the last 6 years, 5 years. It is still 50% below its all time high. 50% below its all time high. The scope for price increases in agriculture is staggering.”

“In a bull market I don’t want to be short or to avoid anything when a secular bull market is taking place. I will hedge myself by shorting something. I’m short emerging markets, for instance, right now. I’m short NASDAQ stocks, for instance, right now. So in the bull market you dont want to avoid. You want to own everything, even the ones you think are bad, because that’s where the great gains are, and you hedge yourself by shorting or selling something else.”

“I don’t know what’s going to happen to the world economy. I know if the economy gets better, I’m going to make money in commodities. If it doesn’t get better, I’m going to make money in commodities because they’re going to print money, print huge amounts of money. But I need a hedge and that’s why BBVA and Citic and I have come up with this new index.”

“You see what’s happening to agricultural prices. You see what’s happening to oil prices. You see what’s happening with metals prices. This has got a long way to go and that’s the major shift that’s taking place.”

“I own some dollars now because there was a big panic, a huge drop in the dollar, and I stepped in and I bought some more dollars. I do sometimes like to buy things when they collapse. Sometimes I get it right. Sometimes  I don’t. Sometimes I lose money. But at the moment I own some dollars.”

 

Financial Spread Betting Explained

Vince Stanzione explains what spread betting is in plain English.

Financial Spread betting also known as Financial Spread Trading is a way that traders can back shares, currencies, commodities, bonds and many other financial markets in many cases with relatively small stakes. Markets can be traded from one account both online, by phone and now on many mobile devices such as the Iphone.

In the UK it is tax free and offers the opportunity to make a profit whether the market goes up or down. It offers access to a wide range of markets from Indices (like the FTSE 100), 1000’s of individual shares, commodities and currency exchange rates.

A financial Bet: Unlike traditional share-dealing, you never own the actual share or commodity. You are simply making a bet on whether you think it will go up or down in value. You stake a certain amount of money per point movement – the more it moves in your favour the more money you make, the more it moves against your prediction, the more you lose. The good news is that your risk can be strictly limited using a guaranteed stop loss. So if you stake £1 a point with 100 point stop, your maximum risk is £100.

The Spread: The spread is the difference between the price you can buy at and the price you can sell at. You will buy at the higher price if you think the market will rise (Go Long or Up Bet), or sell at the lower price if you think the market will fall (Go Short or Down Bet). The tighter the spread, the smaller the market has to move for you to make a profit. No commission or funding costs are charged in spread betting the costs are all built in to the spread.

What can I Spread Bet on?

Individual Shares – Shares in individual companies from almost any market in the world including UK, US, Europe, Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore to name a few.

Stock market indices – Popular indices are the FTSE 100 and Dow Jones, but other indices such as the Nikkei 225, Eurostoxx 50, NASDAQ, S&P 500 or DAX can also be traded.

Commodities –  The last few years has seen a surge in trading on commodities such as  Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Wheat, Cotton, Coffee Cattle, Soybeans and of course those famous Pork Bellies.

Currencies – Another hot area especially for shorter term traders is the Foreign Exchange market  (Forex or FX).  Popular currency pairs include EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, GBP/EUR, EUR/JPY and many more.

Interest rates and Bonds – Short term or long term interest rates, Government Bonds or gilts.

How does a Spread Bet work?

First, you select your market – Let’s take an individual share e.g. McDonalds.

Start by checking the price quoted by the spread betting company – it will reflect the actual share price.  There will always be two figures – the sell price and the buy price, the sell price will be lower. For example, it could be 7450-7460. The 10 points difference is the spread.

You must decide if you think the price of McDonalds shares will go up higher than the buy price, or fall lower than the sell price. If you think higher, you “buy” at the buy price, if you think lower you “sell” at the sell price.

Now, you must decide how much you are betting, that is, what your stake is – this is the amount of money you gain or lose per point of movement on the value of the share. It is always expressed in currency per point of movement e.g. £1 per point.

In spread betting you do not have to pay the full cost of what the share would be to buy – You will only have to pay a percentage – this is called trading on margin. But spread betting companies will require you to have a certain amount on deposit to cover potential losses (exactly how much varies from company to company and this figure is often called the Initial Margin Requirement).

You can close a trade at any time (as long as the underlying market is open) whether you are making a profit or a loss. You do not have to meet any specific value on any specific date.

A Spread Bet Example

So let’s consider our McDonalds example, it’s currently January and quotes are being made on June 2011 contracts – your spread betting company currently has a quote of 7450-7460. Two weeks later the share price increased in value to a quote of 7600-7610.

Example 1: Going Long

So you buy £5 a point of McDonalds at 7460 as you think the price will rise.

The price moves to 7600-7610.

You take your profit and sell at 7600.

Profit = (7600-7460) x 5.

Your profit is £700.

Example 2: Going Short

So you sell £5 a point of McDonalds at 7450 as you think the price will fall.

The price moves to 7480-7490 and you decide to get out

You cut your losses and buy at 7490

Loss = (7450-7490) x 5.

Your loss is £200.

In my course Making Money from Financial Trading I explain more and the exact system I use to buy and sell. For more details go to www.thefintrader.net

Making Money From Financial Spread Trading Package Review

Making Money From Financial Spread Trading Package

http://www.business-opportunity-review.co.uk/6752/trading/making-money-financial-spread-trading-vince-stanzione/

What do you get for your money?

1.       2 x boxed DVD set ‘Making Money from Financial Spread Trading

2.       Making Money from Financial Spread Trading (A4 Ringbinder to compliment the DVD’s)

3.       How to Stop Existing and Start Living (340 page paperback edition) by Vince Stanzione

4.       Daily updates and Trendspotter access via Vince’s website

5.       £20 Free bet (Compliments of Bet On Markets

6.       Making a fortune from fixed odds Betting (Downloadable ebook)

Having made a number of purchases over the years for various trading systems, I was pleasantly surprised to see that this, on the surface at least, represents great value.

However, what really counts is the education found within the course and how does this translate to the real world of trading for a novice trader and/or experienced trader?

I think that the majority of people looking at any review of a product will first and foremost want to know, who is behind the product.  Vince Stanzione has been a successful trader for a little over 20 years and, according to published statements on his site, now averages  £25k a week in 2010.

So a decent pedigree and what we really want to know is, does the course show you how to begin trading using spread betting and are the methods employed going to be profitable.

Well, it’s a resounding  yes to both questions.  In the detailed course book and within the DVD’s Vince walks us through the placing trades on a number of spreadbetting platforms. All the basics are covered such  as risk per trade such and  the correct  use of entry/exit criteria.

He also shares with us a number of extremely easy to use strategies which he uses to make his trades.  The primary focus in on trend trading which all of the great traders over time have employed as it unveils virtually no screen time and simple proven rules.

The best thing about the course for me is that it is easy to digest and makes total sense as far as how the markets really work and what we as would be traders need to do to profit. His trade style is such that he doesn’t ever spend time in front of the computer during the day. His approach is about getting into the clearly defined trends, as dictated by the system rules, and staying with them and only exiting when his rules dictate. So here’s a simple Set and forget system which will take out he emotional problem you can find with day trading . Even, with losses occurring, the system encourages the cut the losses short and let the profits run mentality.

Because the system is end of day, this in effect means that the system is ideal to anyone who is employed and wishes to trade as a supplementary income or the retired who don’t want to be glued to screens all day. Simply check the charts, or even use the website as he does a lot of the work for you, and then either re-enter or exit a trade if the criteria are met.

If it’s good enough for Warren Buffett, then I’m interested so I’m eager to get going with these strategies right away.

Top Tip: Don’t feel you have to trade all the time

Don’t feel you have to trade all the time
Multi Millionaire trader Vince Stanzione says “Only gamblers bet on markets every single day. Sometimes the best trades are the ones you do not make. Trading can become addictive both for losing traders who want to get even and winning traders who are now on a roll and want to take over the world in 5 days!

The Tortoise And The Hair

Markets have been here for years and they will be here for many more to come. As already stated, the best trades are trend trends where a trade is entered long or short and is left to run with the trend.”

To learn more and get his top 10 tips please go to www.fintrader.net

Spread Betting on Sugar

Whilst many tend to stick to financial spread betting on shares and indices such as the FTSE100 or Dow Jones multi millionaire trader and coach Vince Stanzione thinks there are plenty of great opportunities in commodities such as Sugar, Cotton and Coffee.

Sugar has offered some very profitable trades both on the up and down side and continues to make large moves.  To learn how to trade and profit from global financial markets then go to www.winonmarkets.net

Vince Stanzione Financial Spread Betting on Sugar

Sugar Prices offer great opportunities to profit from up and down moves

Making Money with Commodities

You don’t have to be a multi millionaire like Jim Rogers or Vince Stanzione to make money from the commodities boom. You can now start trading and investing in commodities with as little as £1000 ($1500), Whilst Currency trading and FX seems flavour of the month most smaller investors have stayed away from commodities which is a big mistake. To learn more go to www.winonmarkets.net

Here are the best performing commodities so far this year.

Commodities Vince Stanzione Financial Spread Betting

Mr T on Bloomberg – Gold short term top?

By Vince Stanzione

I am not a fan of business TV but out of the two I have always ranked Bloomberg more professional than the game show hosts at CNBC.

So it was strange that the A Team Mr T was on Bloomberg, of course I understand that this was a bit of fun and Mr T is starring in US TV adverts for Cash in your Gold, but I worry is this a short term Gold top? We have come a long way fast and taking at least some profits now ($1385) does not seem a bad idea, but long term the trend remains very much up so don’t go out and sell your gold chains yet.

With Financial Spread Betting you can back all major commodities and profit from up or down moves. to learn more go to www.winonmarkets.net

Introduction to Spread Betting and Betting on Gold

Introduction to Spread Betting and Betting on Gold

Financial Spread betting also know as Financial Spread Trading has seen massive growth over the last decade in the UK and is a flexible and tax-efficient way to back anything from shares, currencies, commodities, Bonds, stock indices and even house prices.

Financial spread betting lets you gain exposure to the performance of key markets, without having to put up the full value of the transaction as you’re trading on margin.

So you can profit from market moves while only putting forward a margin deposit as collateral, this can be as low as 10% of the contract value.

 As your transaction is a bet, your profits are free from UK capital gains tax and income tax, and trades on individual shares are free from stamp duty. Those outside the UK may also be able to Spread Bet however the same tax advantages do not apply.

One of the major advantages of financial spread betting over conventional share trading is that it is just as easy to go short as it is to go long. That is, you can profit even when a particular market is falling, you simply open a SELL/DOWN bet rather than a BUY/UP bet. Other methods of shorting shares are often expensive and not easily available to smaller private traders.

Financial Spread betting can be used to trade from less than one minute up to 12 months and can be used to cover a range of different investment strategies. For instance, you could use spread bets to hedge the value of your existing holdings, Hedge against a currency exchange movement or to speculate on market volatility. You also have the flexibility to respond quickly to any changes in market conditions as most Financial Spread Betting companies are open 24 hours a day.

 As the popularity of Financial Spread Betting has grown so have the number of Financial Spread Betting Brokers, as traders this is good news as the competition has lead to better products, lower spreads and smaller bet sizes.

 Another advantage is the ability to trade in your base currency for instance sterling, even though the market may be traded in US Dollar for example Gold or Oil, this means you don’t have to worry about exchange rates.

Example of a Financial Spread Bet Gold

 Let’s look at placing a trade on Gold. We can trade via phone, Internet and many cases now we can trade with a mobile phone such as an Iphone.

All spread bets have an expiry date; we don’t have to hold the bet until this date.

 In this case April Gold which is currently quotes at 945.0/946.0 The first price is the price we sell at the second is the price we buy at.  We think Gold will go up so we buy £100 per point at 946.0.

 One important factor in trading is to always protect your downside; however sure you are you need to have a safety net, in this case a Guaranteed Stop loss.  We will place our stop 20 points away, so if Gold hits $926 then the bet will be automatically closed out. This means that our downside is know ahead of time, our profit is unlimited but our risk is strictly limited to 20 X £100 so £2,000.

 A few weeks in to the trade we see Gold is now trading at 1075/1076, we decide to take our profits and close the bet, so we now sell at 1075.

So to recap Bought £100 at 946.0 sold £100 at 1075 the difference is 129 points X £100 will £12,900 profit.

We could have easily done the reverse and profited from a down move. Also notice whilst Gold is traded in US$ we are using £ as our betting currency.

To Summaries

Financial Spread Betting can be used to profit from Rising or falling markets. It’s possible to trade a diverse range of markets form one account. Bet sizes can be smaller than traditional futures brokers. Traders can use guaranteed stop loses to protect against unlimited losses, yet profits can be unlimited. It is still important to realize that Spread Betting is a higher risk investment and it is advisable to learn and practice before placing real trades, also only trade with risk capital.

Vince Stanzione has produced a home study course to teach private investors how to benefit from trading financial Spread Bets and Fixed Odds priced at £347. For more information please visit www.fintrader.net

Retired Looking to supplement your income?

 

New research – Over 50s Perform Best in Financial Markets

A new five year study of financial trading shows that the over 50s are by far the most successful, profitable traders and investors: a full 40% more profitable than their 20-something counterparts, ending the myth that risk and results are the stuff of youth. The research – conducted by financial trading coach and author Vince Stanzione of www.fintrader.net – studied the trading of 1000 UK individuals between October 2004 and October 2009, covering bull and bear markets and the volatile 2008/9 markets.

Stanzione identified 1000 of his students and clients and divided them into three age groups: 18-30, 30-50 and 50+, with equal numbers in each group. He then analysed their performance and returns over the last five years to see which achieved the most return on capital.

Stanzione says: “I’ve long believed that, in the markets, results come from wisdom, not the hot-headedness of youth. But, even so, I was surprised to see just how well the ‘silver surfer’ traders fared: the over 50s performed 25% better than the 30-50 group and a staggering 40% better than the 18-30s, who were the least successful of the groups.”

Time spent trading was a factor for all three groups. The 18-30s and over 50s spent more time on their portfolios, which may be because the 30-50 group had greater work and family commitments elsewhere. But clearly the over 50s had much greater productivity.

Risk insights also came to light from the research. Stanzione continues: “Another myth that the research busted was that older people are less willing to take risks. The 50+ traders took higher risks for higher returns than the 30-50 group, with a strong appetite for commodities and commodity companies: gold, crude oil and silver featured highly in their portfolios.”

The secret to the difference between youth and age lay in discipline, says Stanzione: “The 18-30s tended to break trading rules and failed to follow systems through. Maybe they had poor attention spans as they would often close out winning trades too soon. Older traders kept better records and managed their money better.”

A further myth busted was of internet familiarity. The 18-30s made great use of internet information, charts and chat rooms but so did the over-50s (more than the 30-50s), becoming extremely web savvy and using a wide range of online tools.

Stanzione, himself a successful trader, coach and author of several works – including ‘How to Stop Existing & Start Living’ – has seen a sharp surge in ‘silver surfer’ students in recent months: “Older investors are sick of earning 1% a year and being sucked dry by high management costs for poor advice. In increasing numbers, they’re now learning to trade markets themselves, and doing it very well.”

But one theme which is common to all groups is “total distrust of financial advisors and professionals. Clients want to be in control of their own money and investment decisions. The use of Exchange Traded Funds with lower management costs and higher flexibility has ballooned in the last two years and I predict this trend will continue.”

Investors and potential traders who wish to learn more about trading financial markets and to get a free copy of 10 top trading tips from a trading veteran should visit www.fintrader.net .

Notes for editors

About Vince Stanzione
Vince Stanzione is a self-made multi-millionaire based in Europe. Beginning aged 16 at Nat West Foreign Exchange in London, he quickly made his mark and then left to form his own company, since when he has been involved in mobile communications, premium rate telephony, interactive gaming, publishing and television and financial trading. He currently lives most of the year between Spain and Monaco and trades his own funds, mainly in currencies and commodities. He also teaches a small number of students and produced the best-selling course on Financial Spread Betting.

Vince Stanzione is the author of “How to Stop Existing & Start Living”, is the Spread Betting Expert for Growth Company Investor and writes monthly columns for The City Magazine, Canary Wharf and Vicinitee Magazine.

Summary of research results

The research analysed five years’ trading results of 1000 UK individuals split evenly into three age-based groups: 18-30, 30-50 and 50+, with the highest age being over 80. The five years ended in October 09 and therefore covered bull and bear markets, the banking collapse of 2008 and the volatile 2008/9 markets.

18-30 group

·       Tended to trade often with many day trades

·       Highly dependent on internet, charts and chat rooms.

·       Tended to break trading rules the most, had a poor discipline at following systems and often closed out winning trades too soon

With large swings in account balances and trading results, this group did the least well of the three. It also traded more Penny shares (under $5 for US and under 50p for UK) and leveraged FX which suggests a striving for quick results with a smaller trading bank than the older groups.

30 – 50 group

·       Performed better than 18-30s but less well than over 50s

·       Least dependency on the internet, of the three groups

·       Followed trading systems but less open to learning new skills or trading new products.

·       Traded less than the 18-30s and slightly less than the over 50s, which could be related to lack of time.

Overall this group made money and beat the average index fund, trading a mix of products including FX, shares and commodities.

50+ group

·       Performed by far the best, making more profit per £1,000 invested: around 40% higher returns than 18-30s and 25% higher than 30-50s

·       Had become very internet literate in recent years, using many online tools and research, possibly helped by having more free time

·       Traded less than 18-30s but a little more than 30-50s

·       Kept the best records and used good money management

This group was open to taking higher risks than the 30-50 group and was not content with low risk/low returns. It had a strong appetite for trading/investing in commodities and commodities based companies, gold, crude oil and silver featuring highly in trading portfolios.

For further information, please contact

Sally Hamilton-Jones
Email: media@fintrader.net
Website: www.fintrader.net

Spread Betting Currencies & Commodities

Here are the best performing currency and commodities markets so far in 2010. To learn more about Spread Betting these markets go to www.winonmarkets.net

Vince Stanzione Currencies and Commodities

click on graph to see full size